Percentage of respiratory specimens that tested positive for influenza

Global Influenza Surveillance Monitoring Update::January 5th, 2018

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1. GLOBAL WHO SUMMARY – based on data up to Dec 22th 2017

Percentage of respiratory specimens that tested positive for influenza

North America: overall activity continued to increase in the region, with detections of predominantly influenza A(H3N2) viruses.

Europe: activity continued to increase, but remained low in most of the countries, with detections of predominantly influenza B followed by influenza A(H3N2) viruses.

Asia: Western Asia: elevated levels of activity were reported in in recent weeks, with influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 predominantly detected. Central Asia: low to no activity was reported. East Asia: influenza activity remained low in most of the countries with the exception of China where influenza like illness (ILI) and influenza percentage positive continued to increase, with influenza B/Yamagata viruses predominantly detected. South East Asia: low levels of influenza activity were reported. Southern Asia: influenza activity remained low in general. Detections of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) viruses were reported in India and of all seasonal subtypes in the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Africa: Northern Africa: low levels of influenza activity were reported. Detections of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus increased slightly in Tunisia. Middle Africa: sporadic detections of influenza A were reported in Cameroon. Eastern Africa: influenza A(H3N2) and B detections were reported in Madagascar and Mozambique.

In the Caribbean and Central American countries: respiratory illness indicators and influenza activity remained low in general but respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) activity remained high in several countries.

2. VIROLOGICAL SURVEILLANCE AND STRAIN CHARACTERIZATION

WHO GISRS laboratories: from 27 November 2017 to 10 December 2017

127006 specimens were tested during that time period. 15344 (12,0%) were positive for influenza viruses, of which 9579 (62.4%) were typed as influenza A and 5765 (37.6%) as influenza B. Of the sub-typed influenza A viruses, 1596 (30.1%) were influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and 3698 (69.9%) were influenza A(H3N2). Of the characterized B viruses, 2640 (85.2%) belonged to the B-Yamagata lineage and 460 (14.8%) to the B-Victoria lineage.

NB: The recommended components for the 2017-2018 Northern hemisphere Influenza vaccine includes: an A/Michigan/45/2015 (H1N1)pdm09-like virus; an A/Hong Kong/4801/2014 (H3N2)-like virus; a B/Brisbane/60/2008-like virus (Vic Lineage). and a B/Phuket/3073/2013-like virus (Yam Lineage) in QIV vaccine.

EUROPE weeks: Week 40 to 51/2017

First detections indicated circulation of A(H3N2) and B/Yamagata viruses in the highest proportions. As the A(H3N2) subtype dominated last season, a high proportion of the population should be protected. For type B viruses from both sentinel and non-sentinel sources, B/Yamagata lineage viruses have greatly outnumbered those of the B/Victoria lineage.

While low in number, 59% of the genetically characterized A(H3N2) viruses belonged to clade 3C.2a, the vaccine virus clade as described in the WHO recommendations for vaccine composition for the NH 2017–18, and 40% to clade 3C.2a1, the viruses of which are antigenically similar to those of clade 3C.2a.

For specimens collected since week 40/2017, genetic characterization of 235 viruses has been reported. Among 107 influenza A(H3N2) viruses, 63 (59%) fell in the vaccine virus component clade (3C.2a), and 42 (40%) in subclade 3C.2a1 with viruses defined by N171K, often with N121K, amino acid substitutions in the haemagglutinin. Viruses in these 2 groups are antigenically similar, but both clade and subclade are evolving rapidly with the emergence of several virus clusters defined by additional amino acid substitutions in the haemagglutinin, thereby requiring continued monitoring of antigenic characteristics. 1 A(H1N1)pdm09, 1 A(H3N2) and 3 B/Yamagata viruses were not attributed to any clade.

See also the November report from ECDC.

Table, Viruses attributed to genetic groups, cumulative for weeks-40-51/2017

US-CDC- Until Dec 23th, 2017

The most frequently identified influenza virus subtype reported by public health laboratories during week 51 was influenza A(H3). The percentage of respiratory specimens testing positive for influenza in clinical laboratories increased.

CDC has antigenically or genetically characterized 648 influenza viruses collected during October 1 – December 23, 2017 including 73 influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses, 405 influenza A(H3N2) viruses, and 170 influenza B viruses.

A (H1N1)pdm09: Phylogenetic analysis of the HA genes from 73 A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses showed that all belonged to clade 6B.1. Forty-one A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses were antigenically characterized, and all were antigenically similar (analyzed using HI with ferret antisera) to the reference 6B.1 virus A/Michigan/45/2015, representing the recommended influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 reference virus for the 2017–18 NH vaccines.

A (H3N2): Phylogenetic analysis of the HA genes from 405 A(H3N2) viruses revealed extensive genetic diversity with multiple clades/subclades co-circulating. The HA genes of circulating viruses belonged to clade 3C.2a (n=322), subclade 3C.2a1 (n=79) or clade 3C.3a (n=4). One hundred twenty seven influenza A(H3N2) viruses were antigenically characterized, and 126 (99.2%) A(H3N2) viruses tested were well-inhibited (reacting at titers that were within fourfold of the homologous virus titer) by ferret antisera raised against A/Michigan/15/2014 (3C.2a), a cell propagated A/Hong Kong/4801/2014-like reference virus representing the A(H3N2) component of 2017–18 NH vaccines.

B/Victoria: Phylogenetic analysis of 17 B/Victoria-lineage viruses indicate that all HA genes belonged to genetic clade V1A, the same genetic clade as the vaccine reference virus, B/Brisbane/60/2008. However, a small number of viruses identified in 2017 had a 6-nucleotide deletion (encoding amino acids 162 and 163) in the HA (abbreviated as V1A-2Del). Four (57.1%) B/Victoria lineage viruses were well-inhibited by ferret antisera raised against cell -propagated B/Brisbane/60/2008 reference virus, representing a recommended B virus component of 2017–18 NH vaccines. Three (42.9%) B/Victoria lineage virus reacted poorly (at titers that were 8-fold or greater reduced compared with the homologous virus titer) with ferret antisera raised against cell-propagated B/Brisbane/60/2008, and these viruses had the V1A-2Del HA.

B/Yamagata: Phylogenetic analysis of 153 influenza B/Yamagata-lineage viruses indicate that the HA genes belonged to clade Y3. A total of 71 influenza B/Yamagata-lineage viruses were antigenically characterized, and all were antigenically similar to cell propagated B/Phuket/3073/2013, the reference vaccine virus representing the influenza B/Yamagata-lineage component of the 2017–18 NH QIV.

Sequence Results, by Genetic HA Clade/Subclade, of Specimens Submitted to CDC by U.S. Public Health Laboratories, Cumulative, 2017-2018 Season

HPA-London until Week 01,2018

The PHE Respiratory Virus Unit has characterised 124 influenza viruses detected since week 37. Of the 43 A(H1N1)pdm09 influenza viruses that have been characterised, all belong in the genetic subgroup 6B.1, which was the predominant genetic subgroup in the 2016/17 season and to date during the current season. The 25 viruses antigenically analysed are similar to the A/Michigan/45/2015 NH 2017/18 (H1N1)pdm09 vaccine strain.

Genetic characterisation of 56 A(H3N2) influenza viruses detected since late summer, showed that they all belong to genetic subclade 3C.2a, with 32 belonging to a cluster within this genetic subclade designated as 3C.2a1. The NH 2017/18 influenza A(H3N2) vaccine strain A/HongKong/4801/2014 belongs in genetic subclade 3C.2a.

Twenty five influenza B viruses have been analysed; 21 were characterised as belonging to the B/Yamagata/16/88-lineage and 4 belonging to the B/Victoria/2/1987-lineage. Of the influenza B viruses antigenically characterised, the B/Victoria/2/87-lineage viruses were antigenically similar to B/Brisbane/60/2008, the influenza B/Victoria-lineage component of 2017/18 NH TIV trivalent and QIV. B/Yamagata/16/88-lineage viruses were antigenically similar to B/Phuket/3073/2013, the influenza B/Yamagata-lineage component of the 2017/18 NH QIV vaccine.

Table 3: Viruses characterised by PHE Reference Laboratory, 2017/18

JAPAN National infectious diseases- Until Week 51/2017

Influenza cases reported per sentinel weekly

Weekly reports of influenza virus isolation/detection. 2013/14 - 2017/18

3. MORE DATA FROM REGIONAL OR COUNTRIES SURVEILLANCE

Percentage of respiratory specimens that tested positive for influenza

Global Influenza Surveillance Monitoring Update::December 15th, 2017

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1. GLOBAL WHO SUMMARY – based on data up to Dec 08th 2017

Percentage of respiratory specimens that tested positive for influenza

North America: overall influenza activity continued to increase in the region, with detections of predominantly influenza A(H3N2) viruses.

Europe: influenza activity increased since the previous weeks, but remained low, with detections of predominantly influenza B viruses followed by influenza A(H3N2) viruses.

Northern Africa: sporadic influenza A virus detections were reported in Morocco and Tunisia.

Western Africa: influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus detections increased in Cote d’Ivoire and Ghana. In Middle Africa, influenza B detections were reported in Central African Republic.

In Eastern Africa: influenza B Yamagata-lineage virus detections were reported in Mozambique.

Western Asia: high levels of influenza activity were reported in Oman and Qatar in recent weeks, with detections of all seasonal influenza subtypes.

Central Asia: respiratory illness indicators appeared to increase in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan in recent weeks.

Eastern Asia: influenza activity remained low in general. In Northern China, ILI and influenza percentage positive continued to increase, with influenza A(H3N2) and B Yamagata-lineage viruses predominantly detected.

2. VIROLOGICAL SURVEILLANCE AND STRAIN CHARACTERIZATION

WHO GISRS laboratories: from 13 November 2017 to 26 November 2017

NICs and other national influenza laboratories from 99 countries reported data to FluNet for the time period More than 113412 specimens were tested during that time period and 8982 were positive for influenza viruses (7,9%), of which 5617 (62.5%) were typed as influenza A and 3365 (37.5%) as influenza B. Of the sub-typed influenza A viruses, 1122 (33%) were influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and 2273 (67%) were influenza A(H3N2). Of the characterized B viruses, 1521 (80%) belonged to the B-Yamagata lineage and 381 (20%) to the B-Victoria lineage.

NB: The recommended components for the 2017-2018 Northern hemisphere Influenza vaccine includes:
an A/Michigan/45/2015 (H1N1)pdm09-like virus; an A/Hong Kong/4801/2014 (H3N2)-like virus; a B/Brisbane/60/2008-like virus (Vic Lineage). and a B/Phuket/3073/2013-like virus (Yam Lineage) in QIV vaccine.

EUROPE weeks: Week 40 to 48/2017

While relatively few of the viruses detected in non-sentinel samples since week 40/2017 have been ascribed to a subtype or lineage, of all subtyped A viruses 82% were A(H3N2). Of influenza type B viruses ascribed to a lineage (n=76), 92% were B/Yamagata lineage and 8% were B/Victoria lineage.

Genetic characterization of 122 viruses has been reported (see table below). Among 74 influenza A(H3N2) viruses, 45 (61%) fell in the vaccine virus component clade (3C.2a), and 29 (39%) in subclade 3C.2a1 with viruses defined by N171K, often with N121K, amino acid substitutions in the haemagglutinin. Viruses in these 2 groups are antigenically similar, but both clade and subclade are evolving rapidly with the emergence of several virus clusters defined by additional amino acid substitutions in the haemagglutinin, thereby requiring continued monitoring of antigenic characteristics. Three B/Yamagata viruses were not attributed to any clade.

Table, Viruses attributed to genetic groups, cumulative for weeks-40-48/2017

See also the November report (genetic data as of week 48)

US-CDC- Until Nov 25th, 2017

CDC has antigenically or genetically characterized 277 influenza viruses collected during October 1 – November 25, 2017 including 38 influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses, 187 influenza A(H3N2) viruses, and 52 influenza B viruses.

A (H1N1)pdm09: Phylogenetic analysis of the HA genes from 38 A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses showed that all belonged to clade 6B.1. 38 A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses were antigenically characterized, and all were antigenically similar (analyzed using HI with ferret antisera) to the reference 6B.1 virus A/Michigan/45/2015, representing the recommended influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 reference virus for the 2017–18 NH influenza vaccines.

A (H3N2): Phylogenetic analysis of the HA genes from 187 A(H3N2) viruses revealed extensive genetic diversity with multiple clades/subclades co-circulating. The HA genes of circulating viruses belonged to clade 3C.2a (n=144) or subclade 3C.2a1 (n=43). 64 influenza A(H3N2) viruses were antigenically characterized, and 63 (98%) A(H3N2) viruses tested were well-inhibited (reacting at titers that were within fourfold of the homologous virus titer) by ferret antisera raised against A/Michigan/15/2014 (3C.2a), a cell propagated A/Hong Kong/4801/2014-like reference virus representing the A(H3N2) component of 2017–18 NH influenza vaccines.

B/Victoria: Phylogenetic analysis of two B/Victoria-lineage viruses indicate that all HA genes belonged to genetic clade V1A, the same genetic clade as the vaccine reference virus, B/Brisbane/60/2008. However, a small number of viruses identified in 2017 had a 6-nucleotide deletion (encoding amino acids 162 and 163) in the HA (abbreviated as V1A-2Del). One (50%) of two B/Victoria lineage viruses were well-inhibited by ferret antisera raised against cell -propagated B/Brisbane/60/2008 reference virus, representing a recommended B virus component of 2017–18 Northern Hemisphere influenza vaccines. One B/Victoria lineage virus reacted poorly (at titers that were 8-fold or greater reduced compared with the homologous virus titer) with ferret antisera raised against cell-propagated B/Brisbane/60/2008, and this virus had the two amino acid deletion in the HA of the V1A-2Del viruses.

B/Yamagata: Phylogenetic analysis of 50 influenza B/Yamagata-lineage viruses indicate that the HA genes belonged to clade Y3. A total of 14 influenza B/Yamagata-lineage viruses were antigenically characterized, and all were antigenically similar to cell propagated B/Phuket/3073/2013, the reference vaccine virus representing the influenza B/Yamagata-lineage component of the 2017–18 Northern Hemisphere QIV.

Sequence Results, by Genetic HA Clade/Subclade, of Specimens Submitted to CDC by U.S. Public Health Laboratories, Cumulative, 2017-2018 Season

HPA-London until Week 48

The PHE Respiratory Virus Unit has characterised 88 influenza viruses detected since week 37. Of the 19 A(H1N1)pdm09 influenza viruses that have been characterised, all belong in the genetic subgroup 6B.1, which was the predominant genetic subgroup in the 2016/17 season. The four viruses antigenically analysed are similar to the A/Michigan/45/2015 Northern Hemisphere 2017/18 (H1N1)pdm09 vaccine strain.

Genetic characterisation of 50 A(H3N2) influenza viruses detected since late summer, showed that they all belong to genetic subclade 3C.2a, with 30 belonging to a cluster within this genetic subclade designated as 3C.2a1. The NH 2017/18 influenza A(H3N2) vaccine strain A/HongKong/4801/2014 belongs in genetic subclade 3C.2a.

Nineteen influenza B viruses have been analysed; 16 were characterised as belonging to the B/Yamagata/16/88-lineage and 3 belonging to the B/Victoria/2/1987-lineage. Of the influenza B viruses antigenically characterised, the B/Victoria/2/87-lineage viruses were antigenically similar to B/Brisbane/60/2008, the influenza B/Victoria-lineage component of 2017/18 NH TIV and QIV. B/Yamagata/16/88-lineage viruses were antigenically similar to B/Phuket/3073/2013, the influenza B/Yamagata-lineage component of 2016/17 NH QIV.

JAPAN National infectious diseases- Until Week 49

JAPAN National infectious dieseases - Week 49

3. Real-time tracking of influenza virus evolution

Next-Flu (Sept 19th 2017 report) Neher RA, Bedford T. 2015. nextflu: real-time tracking of seasonal influenza virus evolution in humans. Bioinformatics DOI: 10.1093/bioinformatics/btv381.

H3N2 continues to diversify with many coexisting clades, all of which carry several amino acid mutations at previously characterized epitopes sites. The majority of viruses fall into the 3c2.a clade which has been dominating globally for >3 years, but 3c3.a viruses continue to persist. The common ancestor of circulating H3N2 viruses is now more than 5 years old, which is rare for H3N2. Despite extensive genetic diversity, serological assays suggest limited, but non-zero, antigenic evolution. We expect multiple competing clades within 3c2.a to persist into the future with no clear immediate winner.

Next-Flu (Sept 19th 2017 report)

A/H1N1pdm: A clade comprising mutations S74R and I295V has risen to >60% global frequency. Although it shows no antigenic distinction by ferret HI data, the rapidity of its rise suggests a selective origin.

B/Vic: A clade with a two amino acid deletion 162-/163- has altered serological properties and is increasing in frequency, albeit slowly. Two other clades (carrying mutations K209N and V87A/I175V) have increased in frequency moderately.

B/Yam: A clade comprising M251V within clade 3 viruses continues to dominate. This is little genetic differentiation within this clade and no evidence of antigenic evolution.

4. MORE DATA FROM REGIONAL OR COUNTRIES SURVEILLANCE

Percentage of respiratory specimens that tested positive for influenza

Global Influenza Surveillance Monitoring Update::November 10th, 2017

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1. GLOBAL WHO SUMMARY – based on data up to 15 October 2017

Percentage of respiratory specimens that tested positive for influenza

North America: Overall influenza virus activity remained low, with detections of predominantly influenza A(H3N2) and B viruses in the past few weeks. Respiratory illness indicators were below seasonal thresholds except in Mexico where ARI remained just above the alert threshold.

Europe: In Europe, influenza activity remained low, with detections of predominantly influenza A(H3N2) and B viruses in the past weeks.

Northern Africa: Little to no influenza virus detections was reported.

Western Asia: Influenza activity continued to increase in Oman, with influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus predominantly detected followed by a small proportion of A(H3N2) and B viruses.

Central Asia: In Central Asia, ILI and SARI indicators appeared to increase in Kazakhstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, with few influenza detections.

Eastern Asia: In East Asia, influenza activity remained low.

2. VIROLOGICAL SURVEILLANCE AND STRAIN CHARACTERIZATION

WHO GISRS laboratories: from 02 October 2017 to 15 October 2017

The WHO GISRS laboratories tested more than 84217 specimens of which 4193 (4,9%) were positive for influenza viruses. 3269 (78%) were typed as influenza A and 924 (22%) as influenza B. Of the sub-typed influenza A viruses, 524 (20.6%) were influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and 2022 (79.4%) were influenza A(H3N2).
Of the characterized B viruses, 234 (71.8%) belonged to the B-Yamagata lineage and 92 (28.2%) to the BVictoria lineage.

NB: The recommended components for the 2017-2018 Northern hemisphere Influenza vaccine includes:
an A/Michigan/45/2015 (H1N1)pdm09-like virus; an A/Hong Kong/4801/2014 (H3N2)-like virus; a B/Brisbane/60/2008-like virus (Vic Lineage). and a B/Phuket/3073/2013-like virus (Yam Lineage) in QIV vaccine.

EUROPE weeks: Week 40 to 44/2017

Since week 40/2017, few influenza viruses have been detected in sentinel and non-sentinel specimens. Of the viruses subtyped or assigned to a lineage, for detections in both sentinel or non-sentinel surveillance systems, most were identified as A(H3N2) or B/Yamagata viruses.
For week 44/2017, no genetic characterizations were reported. The latest characterization data are summarised in the ECDC summary report for September.

US-CDC- Until Nov 4th, 2017

Nationally, the percentage of respiratory specimens testing positive for influenza viruses in clinical laboratories during the week ending November 4 was 3.4%.
Regionally, the three week average percent of specimens testing positive for influenza in clinical laboratories ranged from 0.5% to 6.1%.

During the week ending November 4, of the 529 (3.4%) influenza-positive tests reported to CDC by clinical laboratories, 381 (72.0%) were influenza A viruses and 148 (28.0%) were influenza B viruses.
The most frequently identified influenza virus type reported by public health laboratories was influenza A virus.

During the week ending November 4, 108 (80.6%) of the 134 influenza-positive tests reported to CDC by public health laboratories were influenza A viruses and 26 (19.4%) were influenza B viruses. Of the 101 influenza A viruses that were subtyped, 91 (90.1%) were H3N2 viruses and 10 (9.9%) were (H1N1)pdm09 viruses.
The majority of the influenza viruses collected from the United States during May 21 through October 28, 2017 were characterized antigenically and genetically as being similar to the cell-grown reference viruses representing the 2017–18 Northern Hemisphere influenza vaccine viruses.

HPA-London until Week 44

35 influenza viruses have been detected since late summer. Of the 7 A(H1N1)pdm09 influenza viruses that have been characterised, all belong in the genetic subgroup 6B.1, which was the predominant genetic subgroup in the 2016/17 season. The two viruses antigenically analysed are similar to the A/Michigan/45/2015 Northern Hemisphere 2017/18 (H1N1)pdm09 vaccine strain.
Genetic characterisation of 20 A(H3N2) influenza viruses detected since late summer, showed that they all belong to genetic subclade 3C.2a, with 12 belonging to a cluster within this genetic subclade designated as 3C.2a1. (vaccine strain A/HongKong/4801/2014 belongs in genetic subclade 3C.2a).

Eight influenza B viruses have been analysed; 6 characterised as belonging to the B/Yamagata/16/88-lineage and 2 belonging to the B/Victoria/2/1987-lineage. Of 6 influenza B viruses antigenically characterised, two B/Victoria/2/87-lineage viruses were antigenically similar to B/Brisbane/60/2008, the influenza B/Victorialineage component of 2017/18 Northern Hemisphere TIV and QIV. 4 B/Yamagata/16/88-lineage viruses were antigenically similar to B/Phuket/3073/2013, the influenza B/Yamagata-lineage component of 2016/17 Northern Hemisphere QIV.

JAPAN National infectious dieseases- Week 43

JAPAN National infectious dieseases - Week 43

3. Real-time tracking of influenza virus evolution

Next-Flu (Sept 19th 2017 report) Neher RA, Bedford T. 2015. nextflu: real-time tracking of seasonal influenza virus evolution in humans. Bioinformatics DOI: 10.1093/bioinformatics/btv381.

H3N2 continues to diversify with many coexisting clades, all of which carry several amino acid mutations at previously characterized epitopes sites. The majority of viruses fall into the 3c2.a clade which has been dominating globally for >3 years, but 3c3.a viruses continue to persist. The common ancestor of circulating H3N2 viruses is now more than 5 years old, which is rare for H3N2. Despite extensive genetic diversity, serological assays suggest limited, but non-zero, antigenic evolution. We expect multiple competing clades within 3c2.a to persist into the future with no clear immediate winner.

Next-Flu (Sept 19th 2017 report)

A/H1N1pdm: A clade comprising mutations S74R and I295V has risen to >60% global frequency. Although it shows no antigenic distinction by ferret HI data, the rapidity of its rise suggests a selective origin.

B/Vic: A clade with a two amino acid deletion 162-/163- has altered serological properties and is increasing in frequency, albeit slowly. Two other clades (carrying mutations K209N and V87A/I175V) have increased in frequency moderately.

B/Yam: A clade comprising M251V within clade 3 viruses continues to dominate. This is little genetic differentiation within this clade and no evidence of antigenic evolution.

4. MORE DATA FROM REGIONAL OR COUNTRIES SURVEILLANCE

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